Major League Soccer · Wednesday, 19 Aug 2026
Philadelphia Union
Home
2-2
Full time
Subaru Park
Inter Miami
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.74
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2 - 1.07
Win probability
Home
54%
Draw
20%
Away
26%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
54%
1.74
Double Chance
Home/Away
80%
1.18
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
76%
1.24
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
72%
1.31
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
76%
Over 2.5
72%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.07
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Philadelphia Union wins
0
Draws
0
Inter Miami wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
26%
60%
Attack
66%
46%
Defence
13%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
54%
Win probability
26%
Home and away record
Philadelphia Union
last 5 at home
4W
0D
1L
2.40
points a game
2.00
scored a game
1.20
conceded a game
Inter Miami
last 2 away from home
1W
0D
1L
1.50
points a game
1.00
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
7 matches.
| Philadelphia Union | Inter Miami | |
|---|---|---|
| 71% 5/7 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/7 86% |
| 57% 4/7 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/7 86% |
| 57% 4/7 | Over 3.5 goals | 5/7 71% |
| 57% 4/7 | Both teams scored | 6/7 86% |
| 14% 1/7 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/7 14% |
| 29% 2/7 | Failed to score | 0/7 0% |
At half time
Philadelphia Union
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
29%
Level
29%
Behind
43%
Inter Miami
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
57%
Level
43%
Behind
0%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 |
Inter Miami |
34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | +21 | 60 |
| 6 |
Philadelphia Union |
34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | +14 | 50 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Philadelphia Union face Inter Miami in Major League Soccer. Philadelphia Union have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 8 (1.8 points per game). Inter Miami have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 13 (0.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 76% and Both Teams to Score at 72%.
With a 54% probability backing Philadelphia Union, home advantage and superior chance creation make Philadelphia Union to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 54% win probability for Philadelphia Union, a 20% chance of a draw, and a 26% probability for Inter Miami. Our top recommended betting pick is Philadelphia Union Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.07 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 72% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Wednesday, 19 Aug 2026 at 23:30 (East Africa Time) at Subaru Park as part of the Major League Soccer.
