Major League Soccer · Wednesday, 19 Aug 2026
FC Cincinnati
Home
2-1
Full time
TQL Stadium
New York City FC
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.68
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.04 - 0.96
Win probability
Home
56%
Draw
23%
Away
21%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
56%
1.68
Double Chance
Home/Draw
79%
1.19
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
FC Cincinnati wins
0
Draws
0
New York City FC wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
26%
73%
Attack
46%
60%
Defence
46%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
56%
Win probability
21%
Home and away record
FC Cincinnati
last 6 at home
5W
0D
1L
2.50
points a game
2.83
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
New York City FC
last 2 away from home
1W
0D
1L
1.50
points a game
1.50
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
8 matches.
| FC Cincinnati | New York City FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 8/8 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/7 100% |
| 75% 6/8 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/7 71% |
| 50% 4/8 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/7 29% |
| 88% 7/8 | Both teams scored | 6/7 86% |
| 13% 1/8 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/7 14% |
| 0% 0/8 | Failed to score | 0/7 0% |
At half time
FC Cincinnati
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
63%
Level
25%
Behind
13%
New York City FC
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
57%
Level
43%
Behind
0%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 |
FC Cincinnati |
34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | -8 | 46 |
| 11 |
New York City FC |
34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | +4 | 42 |
Match Preview & Analysis
FC Cincinnati face New York City FC in Major League Soccer. FC Cincinnati have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 6 (2 points per game). New York City FC have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 8 (0.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 56% probability backing FC Cincinnati, home advantage and superior chance creation make FC Cincinnati to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 56% win probability for FC Cincinnati, a 23% chance of a draw, and a 21% probability for New York City FC. Our top recommended betting pick is FC Cincinnati Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Wednesday, 19 Aug 2026 at 23:30 (East Africa Time) at TQL Stadium as part of the Major League Soccer.
