Serie B · Wednesday, 19 Aug 2026
Vila Nova
Home
6-0
Full time
Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga
Ponte Preta
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.29
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.45 - 0.72
Win probability
Home
73%
Draw
18%
Away
10%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
73%
1.29
Double Chance
Home/Draw
91%
1.03
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.17
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Vila Nova wins
0
Draws
0
Ponte Preta wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
13%
26%
Attack
33%
60%
Defence
40%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
73%
Win probability
10%
Home and away record
Vila Nova
last 3 at home
2W
0D
1L
2.00
points a game
1.33
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Ponte Preta
last 4 away from home
0W
0D
4L
0.00
points a game
0.50
scored a game
2.25
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
9 matches.
| Vila Nova | Ponte Preta | |
|---|---|---|
| 75% 6/8 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/9 100% |
| 38% 3/8 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/9 33% |
| 0% 0/8 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/9 11% |
| 38% 3/8 | Both teams scored | 5/9 56% |
| 13% 1/8 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/9 0% |
| 50% 4/8 | Failed to score | 4/9 44% |
At half time
Vila Nova
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
38%
Level
13%
Behind
50%
Ponte Preta
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
22%
Level
22%
Behind
56%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |
Vila Nova |
37 | 19 | 9 | 9 | +15 | 66 |
| 20 |
Ponte Preta |
37 | 3 | 6 | 28 | -58 | 15 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Vila Nova face Ponte Preta in Serie B. Vila Nova have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 6 (1.2 points per game). Ponte Preta have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 9 (0.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 73% probability backing Vila Nova, home advantage and superior chance creation make Vila Nova to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 73% win probability for Vila Nova, a 18% chance of a draw, and a 10% probability for Ponte Preta. Our top recommended betting pick is Vila Nova Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.17 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Wednesday, 19 Aug 2026 at 23:30 (East Africa Time) at Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga as part of the Serie B.
