Major League Soccer · Thursday, 20 Aug 2026
Sporting Kansas City
Home
1-1
Full time
Children's Mercy Park
St. Louis City
Away
Recommended tip
- @ -
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
No tip for this market.
Double Chance
Draw/Away
62%
1.52
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
67%
1.40
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
68%
1.38
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
67%
Over 2.5
68%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Sporting Kansas City wins
0
Draws
1
St. Louis City wins
17 Jul 2026
St. Louis City
3 - 2
Sporting Kansas City
Why this prediction
20%
Recent form
86%
26%
Attack
73%
20%
Defence
66%
5%
Head-to-head
95%
40%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
Sporting Kansas City
last 2 at home
1W
0D
1L
1.50
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
St. Louis City
last 2 away from home
2W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
3.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
5 matches.
| Sporting Kansas City | St. Louis City | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 5/5 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/5 80% |
| 60% 3/5 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/5 60% |
| 40% 2/5 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/5 60% |
| 40% 2/5 | Both teams scored | 4/5 80% |
| 0% 0/5 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/5 20% |
| 60% 3/5 | Failed to score | 0/5 0% |
At half time
Sporting Kansas City
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
40%
Behind
40%
St. Louis City
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
60%
Level
40%
Behind
0%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |
St. Louis City |
34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | +11 | 54 |
| 15 |
Sporting Kansas City |
34 | 7 | 5 | 22 | -41 | 26 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Sporting Kansas City face St. Louis City in Major League Soccer. Sporting Kansas City have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 12 (0.6 points per game). St. Louis City have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 5 (2.6 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Sporting Kansas City won 0, St. Louis City won 1 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 67% and Both Teams to Score at 68%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match outcome). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for Sporting Kansas City, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for St. Louis City. Our top recommended betting pick is Double Chance / 1X2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 68% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Thursday, 20 Aug 2026 at 00:00 (East Africa Time) at Children's Mercy Park as part of the Major League Soccer.
