Major League Soccer · Thursday, 20 Aug 2026
Minnesota United FC
Home
1-2
Full time
Allianz Field
Atlanta United FC
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.22
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.55 - 0.68
Win probability
Home
77%
Draw
15%
Away
8%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
77%
1.22
Double Chance
Home/Draw
92%
1.02
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
63%
1.49
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
63%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.23
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Minnesota United FC wins
0
Draws
0
Atlanta United FC wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
26%
40%
Attack
46%
66%
Defence
26%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
77%
Win probability
8%
Home and away record
Minnesota United FC
last 4 at home
1W
2D
1L
1.25
points a game
1.25
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Atlanta United FC
last 4 away from home
0W
1D
3L
0.25
points a game
1.25
scored a game
2.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
7 matches.
| Minnesota United FC | Atlanta United FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 71% 5/7 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/5 80% |
| 43% 3/7 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/5 80% |
| 14% 1/7 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/5 60% |
| 71% 5/7 | Both teams scored | 4/5 80% |
| 29% 2/7 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/5 0% |
| 29% 2/7 | Failed to score | 1/5 20% |
At half time
Minnesota United FC
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
14%
Level
43%
Behind
43%
Atlanta United FC
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
20%
Behind
60%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 |
Minnesota United FC |
34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | -2 | 44 |
| 13 |
Atlanta United FC |
34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | -17 | 33 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Minnesota United FC face Atlanta United FC in Major League Soccer. Minnesota United FC have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 5 (1.2 points per game). Atlanta United FC have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 11 (0.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 63% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 77% probability backing Minnesota United FC, home advantage and superior chance creation make Minnesota United FC to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 77% win probability for Minnesota United FC, a 15% chance of a draw, and a 8% probability for Atlanta United FC. Our top recommended betting pick is Minnesota United FC Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.23 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Thursday, 20 Aug 2026 at 00:30 (East Africa Time) at Allianz Field as part of the Major League Soccer.
