Esiliiga A · Thursday, 20 Aug 2026
Elva
Home
1-0
Full time
Nike Arena
Maardu
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.38
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.33 - 0.85
Win probability
Home
68%
Draw
16%
Away
16%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
68%
1.38
Double Chance
Home/Draw
84%
1.12
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
78%
1.21
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
69%
1.36
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
78%
Over 2.5
69%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.18
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Elva wins
0
Draws
0
Maardu wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
60%
86%
Attack
66%
73%
Defence
20%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
68%
Win probability
16%
Home and away record
Elva
last 3 at home
2W
0D
1L
2.00
points a game
1.67
scored a game
1.33
conceded a game
Maardu
last 3 away from home
2W
1D
0L
2.33
points a game
3.33
scored a game
1.67
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Elva | Maardu | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/8 75% |
| 90% 9/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/8 75% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 5/8 63% |
| 40% 4/10 | Both teams scored | 6/8 75% |
| 40% 4/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/8 25% |
| 20% 2/10 | Failed to score | 0/8 0% |
At half time
Elva
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
20%
Behind
30%
Maardu
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
50%
Behind
25%
Match Preview & Analysis
Elva face Maardu in Esiliiga A. Elva have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 13 and conceding 4 (2 points per game). Maardu have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 12 (1.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 78% and Both Teams to Score at 69%.
With a 68% probability backing Elva, home advantage and superior chance creation make Elva to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 68% win probability for Elva, a 16% chance of a draw, and a 16% probability for Maardu. Our top recommended betting pick is Elva Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.18 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 69% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Thursday, 20 Aug 2026 at 09:30 (East Africa Time) at Nike Arena as part of the Esiliiga A.
