Esiliiga A · Thursday, 20 Aug 2026
Elva
Home
1-0
Full time
Nike Arena
Maardu
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.38
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.33 - 0.85
Win probability
Home
68%
Draw
16%
Away
16%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
68%
1.38
Double Chance
Home/Draw
84%
1.12
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
78%
1.21
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
69%
1.36
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
78%
Over 2.5
69%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.18
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Elva wins
0
Draws
0
Maardu wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
60%
66%
Attack
66%
66%
Defence
20%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
68%
Win probability
16%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Elv Elva | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | +4 | 34 |
| 6 | Maa Maardu | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | -14 | 32 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Elva face Maardu in Esiliiga A. Elva have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 5 (2 points per game). Maardu have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 12 (1.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 78% and Both Teams to Score at 69%.
With a 68% probability backing Elva, home advantage and superior chance creation make Elva to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 68% win probability for Elva, a 16% chance of a draw, and a 16% probability for Maardu. Our top recommended betting pick is Elva Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.18 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 69% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Thursday, 20 Aug 2026 at 09:30 (East Africa Time) at Nike Arena as part of the Esiliiga A.
