National 1 · Thursday, 20 Aug 2026
Bourg-en-bresse 01
Home
0-2
Full time
Stade Marcel-Verchere
Thionville Lusitanos
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.24
Predicted score
1 - 2
Goal expectancy (xG)
0.96 - 2.17
Win probability
Home
11%
Draw
12%
Away
76%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
76%
1.24
Double Chance
Draw/Away
88%
1.07
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
84%
1.12
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
70%
1.34
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
84%
Over 2.5
70%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.13
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Bourg-en-bresse 01 wins
0
Draws
0
Thionville Lusitanos wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
83%
33%
Attack
95%
50%
Defence
58%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
11%
Win probability
76%
Home and away record
Bourg-en-bresse 01
last 2 at home
1W
0D
1L
1.50
points a game
2.00
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Thionville Lusitanos
last 2 away from home
2W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
4.00
scored a game
0.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
4 matches.
| Bourg-en-bresse 01 | Thionville Lusitanos | |
|---|---|---|
| 75% 3/4 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/4 100% |
| 50% 2/4 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/4 100% |
| 25% 1/4 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/4 75% |
| 50% 2/4 | Both teams scored | 2/4 50% |
| 25% 1/4 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/4 50% |
| 50% 2/4 | Failed to score | 0/4 0% |
At half time
Bourg-en-bresse 01
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
25%
Behind
50%
Thionville Lusitanos
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
0%
Behind
50%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 |
Thionville Lusitanos |
11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -1 | 13 |
| 18 |
Bourg-en-bresse 01 |
10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -11 | 5 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Bourg-en-bresse 01 face Thionville Lusitanos in National 1. Bourg-en-bresse 01 have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 4 games, scoring 4 and conceding 6 (1 points per game). Thionville Lusitanos have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 4 games, scoring 14 and conceding 5 (2.5 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 84% and Both Teams to Score at 70%.
Thionville Lusitanos's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 76% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Thionville Lusitanos to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-2, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 11% win probability for Bourg-en-bresse 01, a 12% chance of a draw, and a 76% probability for Thionville Lusitanos. Our top recommended betting pick is Thionville Lusitanos Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 2, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.13 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 70% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Thursday, 20 Aug 2026 at 18:45 (East Africa Time) at Stade Marcel-Verchere as part of the National 1.
