National 1 · Thursday, 20 Aug 2026
Caen
Home
1-0
Full time
Venue TBC
Aubagne
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.07
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.81 - 0.57
Win probability
Home
88%
Draw
5%
Away
3%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
88%
1.07
Double Chance
Home/Draw
93%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
86%
1.09
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
86%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.38
Avg goals
Get this match's pick on WhatsApp
Tap, hit send and the bot replies in seconds with the Caen v Aubagne pick. One VIP pick a week is free.
Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Caen wins
0
Draws
0
Aubagne wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
5%
95%
Attack
22%
46%
Defence
22%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
88%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Caen
last 5 at home
3W
1D
1L
2.00
points a game
3.20
scored a game
1.60
conceded a game
Aubagne
last 1 away from home
0W
0D
1L
0.00
points a game
2.00
scored a game
3.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
7 matches.
| Caen | Aubagne | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 7/7 | Over 1.5 goals | 2/3 67% |
| 86% 6/7 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/3 67% |
| 71% 5/7 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/3 33% |
| 86% 6/7 | Both teams scored | 1/3 33% |
| 14% 1/7 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/3 0% |
| 0% 0/7 | Failed to score | 2/3 67% |
At half time
Caen
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
43%
Level
14%
Behind
43%
Aubagne
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
0%
Behind
67%
Match Preview & Analysis
Caen face Aubagne in National 1. Caen have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 16 and conceding 8 (2 points per game). Aubagne have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 3 games, scoring 2 and conceding 7 (0 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 86% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 88% probability backing Caen, home advantage and superior chance creation make Caen to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 88% win probability for Caen, a 5% chance of a draw, and a 3% probability for Aubagne. Our top recommended betting pick is Caen Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.38 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Thursday, 20 Aug 2026 at 18:45 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the National 1.
