National 1 · Thursday, 20 Aug 2026
Concarneau
Home
2-0
Full time
Stade Guy Piriou
Villefranche
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.36
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.36 - 0.83
Win probability
Home
69%
Draw
11%
Away
15%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
69%
1.36
Double Chance
Home/Draw
80%
1.18
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
93%
1.01
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
86%
1.09
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
93%
Over 2.5
86%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.19
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Concarneau wins
0
Draws
0
Villefranche wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
33%
60%
Attack
66%
66%
Defence
11%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
69%
Win probability
15%
Home and away record
Concarneau
last 3 at home
1W
0D
2L
1.00
points a game
2.00
scored a game
1.67
conceded a game
Villefranche
last 2 away from home
0W
0D
2L
0.00
points a game
2.00
scored a game
4.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
7 matches.
| Concarneau | Villefranche | |
|---|---|---|
| 86% 6/7 | Over 1.5 goals | 3/3 100% |
| 57% 4/7 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/3 67% |
| 29% 2/7 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/3 67% |
| 71% 5/7 | Both teams scored | 2/3 67% |
| 14% 1/7 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/3 33% |
| 14% 1/7 | Failed to score | 0/3 0% |
At half time
Concarneau
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
14%
Level
43%
Behind
43%
Villefranche
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
0%
Behind
67%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 |
Concarneau |
10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +4 | 17 |
| 17 |
Villefranche |
10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -14 | 7 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Concarneau face Villefranche in National 1. Concarneau have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 5 (2 points per game). Villefranche have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 3 games, scoring 6 and conceding 8 (1 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 93% and Both Teams to Score at 86%.
With a 69% probability backing Concarneau, home advantage and superior chance creation make Concarneau to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 69% win probability for Concarneau, a 11% chance of a draw, and a 15% probability for Villefranche. Our top recommended betting pick is Concarneau Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.19 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 86% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Thursday, 20 Aug 2026 at 18:45 (East Africa Time) at Stade Guy Piriou as part of the National 1.
