La Liga · Thursday, 20 Aug 2026
Rayo Vallecano
Home
1-1
Full time
Estadio Municipal de Butarque
Alaves
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.74
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2 - 0.98
Win probability
Home
54%
Draw
25%
Away
22%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
54%
1.74
Double Chance
Home/Draw
79%
1.19
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.98
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Rayo Vallecano wins
0
Draws
0
Alaves wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
20%
Recent form
73%
40%
Attack
60%
26%
Defence
86%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
54%
Win probability
22%
Home and away record
Rayo Vallecano
last 0 at home
No at home games on record yet.
Alaves
last 2 away from home
1W
1D
0L
2.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
5 matches.
| Rayo Vallecano | Alaves | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 5/5 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/5 80% |
| 100% 5/5 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/5 40% |
| 20% 1/5 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/5 0% |
| 80% 4/5 | Both teams scored | 2/5 40% |
| 0% 0/5 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/5 60% |
| 20% 1/5 | Failed to score | 0/5 0% |
At half time
Rayo Vallecano
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
20%
Behind
40%
Alaves
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
40%
Behind
20%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 |
Alaves |
12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -2 | 13 |
| 14 |
Rayo Vallecano |
11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -6 | 12 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Rayo Vallecano face Alaves in La Liga. Rayo Vallecano have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 11 (0.6 points per game). Alaves have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 2 (2.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 54% probability backing Rayo Vallecano, home advantage and superior chance creation make Rayo Vallecano to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 54% win probability for Rayo Vallecano, a 25% chance of a draw, and a 22% probability for Alaves. Our top recommended betting pick is Rayo Vallecano Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.98 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Thursday, 20 Aug 2026 at 19:00 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Butarque as part of the La Liga.
