Liga de Expansión MX · Thursday, 20 Aug 2026
Venados FC
Home
4-2
Full time
Estadio Carlos Iturralde Rivero
Dorados
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.38
Predicted score
1 - 2
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.11 - 2
Win probability
Home
17%
Draw
13%
Away
68%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
68%
1.38
Double Chance
Draw/Away
81%
1.16
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
92%
1.02
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
84%
1.12
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
92%
Over 2.5
84%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.11
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Venados FC wins
0
Draws
0
Dorados wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
58%
Recent form
55%
66%
Attack
66%
33%
Defence
55%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
17%
Win probability
68%
Home and away record
Venados FC
last 2 at home
2W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
3.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Dorados
last 1 away from home
1W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
2.00
scored a game
0.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
4 matches.
| Venados FC | Dorados | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 4/4 | Over 1.5 goals | 3/3 100% |
| 75% 3/4 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/3 67% |
| 50% 2/4 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/3 67% |
| 75% 3/4 | Both teams scored | 2/3 67% |
| 25% 1/4 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/3 33% |
| 0% 0/4 | Failed to score | 0/3 0% |
At half time
Venados FC
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
50%
Behind
25%
Dorados
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
0%
Behind
67%
Match Preview & Analysis
Venados FC face Dorados in Liga de Expansión MX. Venados FC have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 4 games, scoring 8 and conceding 8 (1.75 points per game). Dorados have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 3 games, scoring 6 and conceding 4 (1.67 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 92% and Both Teams to Score at 84%.
Dorados's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 68% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Dorados to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-2, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 17% win probability for Venados FC, a 13% chance of a draw, and a 68% probability for Dorados. Our top recommended betting pick is Dorados Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 2, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.11 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 84% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Thursday, 20 Aug 2026 at 23:00 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Carlos Iturralde Rivero as part of the Liga de Expansión MX.
