CONMEBOL Libertadores · Friday, 21 Aug 2026
Corinthians
Home
1-0
Full time
Neo Quimica Arena
Rosario Central
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 2.00
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.16 - 1.53
Win probability
Home
19%
Draw
34%
Away
47%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
47%
2.00
Double Chance
Draw/Away
81%
1.16
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
79%
1.19
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
73%
1.29
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
21%
Over 2.5
27%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.69
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Corinthians wins
1
Draws
0
Rosario Central wins
14 Aug 2026
Rosario Central
0 - 0
Corinthians
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
73%
33%
Attack
26%
66%
Defence
93%
5%
Head-to-head
5%
19%
Win probability
47%
Home and away record
Corinthians
last 4 at home
2W
1D
1L
1.75
points a game
1.50
scored a game
0.75
conceded a game
Rosario Central
last 3 away from home
2W
0D
1L
2.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
0.67
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
9 matches.
| Corinthians | Rosario Central | |
|---|---|---|
| 78% 7/9 | Over 1.5 goals | 2/6 33% |
| 33% 3/9 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/6 33% |
| 0% 0/9 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/6 0% |
| 44% 4/9 | Both teams scored | 2/6 33% |
| 44% 4/9 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/6 67% |
| 33% 3/9 | Failed to score | 2/6 33% |
At half time
Corinthians
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
22%
Level
67%
Behind
11%
Rosario Central
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
50%
Behind
17%
Match Preview & Analysis
Corinthians face Rosario Central in CONMEBOL Libertadores. Corinthians have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 5 (1.4 points per game). Rosario Central have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 1 (2.2 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Corinthians won 0, Rosario Central won 0 and 1 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 21% and Both Teams to Score at 27%.
Rosario Central's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 47% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Rosario Central to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 19% win probability for Corinthians, a 34% chance of a draw, and a 47% probability for Rosario Central. Our top recommended betting pick is Rosario Central Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.69 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 27%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Friday, 21 Aug 2026 at 00:30 (East Africa Time) at Neo Quimica Arena as part of the CONMEBOL Libertadores.
