Liga de Expansión MX · Friday, 21 Aug 2026
Tepatitlán
Home
3-2
Full time
Venue TBC
Tlaxcala
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.65
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.18 - 1.75
Win probability
Home
20%
Draw
22%
Away
57%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
57%
1.65
Double Chance
Draw/Away
79%
1.19
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.93
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Tepatitlán wins
0
Draws
0
Tlaxcala wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
5%
Recent form
8%
8%
Attack
41%
16%
Defence
8%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
20%
Win probability
57%
Home and away record
Tepatitlán
last 2 at home
0W
0D
2L
0.00
points a game
0.00
scored a game
3.00
conceded a game
Tlaxcala
last 2 away from home
0W
1D
1L
0.50
points a game
1.50
scored a game
2.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
4 matches.
| Tepatitlán | Tlaxcala | |
|---|---|---|
| 50% 2/4 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/4 100% |
| 50% 2/4 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/4 75% |
| 50% 2/4 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/4 75% |
| 25% 1/4 | Both teams scored | 3/4 75% |
| 0% 0/4 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/4 0% |
| 75% 3/4 | Failed to score | 1/4 25% |
At half time
Tepatitlán
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
50%
Behind
25%
Tlaxcala
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
25%
Behind
50%
Match Preview & Analysis
Tepatitlán face Tlaxcala in Liga de Expansión MX. Tepatitlán have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 4 games, scoring 1 and conceding 10 (0 points per game). Tlaxcala have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 4 games, scoring 5 and conceding 11 (0.25 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Tlaxcala's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 57% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Tlaxcala to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 20% win probability for Tepatitlán, a 22% chance of a draw, and a 57% probability for Tlaxcala. Our top recommended betting pick is Tlaxcala Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.93 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Friday, 21 Aug 2026 at 01:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Liga de Expansión MX.
