Liga 3 · Friday, 21 Aug 2026
Guria
Home
2-0
Full time
Venue TBC
Saburtalo II
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.77
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.97 - 0.96
Win probability
Home
53%
Draw
26%
Away
21%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
53%
1.77
Double Chance
Home/Draw
79%
1.19
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.93
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Guria wins
0
Draws
0
Saburtalo II wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
66%
86%
Attack
40%
73%
Defence
80%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
53%
Win probability
21%
Home and away record
Guria
last 4 at home
2W
0D
2L
1.50
points a game
2.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Saburtalo II
last 3 away from home
3W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
1.67
scored a game
0.33
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
6 matches.
| Guria | Saburtalo II | |
|---|---|---|
| 67% 4/6 | Over 1.5 goals | 3/5 60% |
| 67% 4/6 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/5 20% |
| 33% 2/6 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/5 0% |
| 50% 3/6 | Both teams scored | 2/5 40% |
| 33% 2/6 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/5 40% |
| 17% 1/6 | Failed to score | 1/5 20% |
At half time
Guria
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
67%
Level
33%
Behind
0%
Saburtalo II
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
20%
Behind
40%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Guria |
25 | 17 | 5 | 3 | +56 | 56 |
| 3 |
Saburtalo II |
25 | 12 | 10 | 3 | +22 | 46 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Guria face Saburtalo II in Liga 3. Guria have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 13 and conceding 4 (1.8 points per game). Saburtalo II have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 3 (2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 53% probability backing Guria, home advantage and superior chance creation make Guria to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 53% win probability for Guria, a 26% chance of a draw, and a 21% probability for Saburtalo II. Our top recommended betting pick is Guria Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.93 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Friday, 21 Aug 2026 at 13:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Liga 3.
