Eerste Divisie · Friday, 21 Aug 2026
Emmen
Home
3-1
Full time
De Oude Meerdijk
Jong AZ
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.88
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.49 - 1.6
Win probability
Home
33%
Draw
15%
Away
50%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
50%
1.88
Double Chance
Home/Away
83%
1.13
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
95%
1.01
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
92%
1.02
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
95%
Over 2.5
92%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.09
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Emmen wins
0
Draws
0
Jong AZ wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
80%
86%
Attack
95%
33%
Defence
53%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
33%
Win probability
50%
Home and away record
Emmen
last 3 at home
2W
0D
1L
2.00
points a game
1.67
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Jong AZ
last 5 away from home
4W
1D
0L
2.60
points a game
4.00
scored a game
1.40
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
8 matches.
| Emmen | Jong AZ | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 4/5 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/8 88% |
| 80% 4/5 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/8 75% |
| 60% 3/5 | Over 3.5 goals | 5/8 63% |
| 40% 2/5 | Both teams scored | 6/8 75% |
| 40% 2/5 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/8 13% |
| 20% 1/5 | Failed to score | 1/8 13% |
At half time
Emmen
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
40%
Behind
40%
Jong AZ
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
17%
Level
50%
Behind
33%
Match Preview & Analysis
Emmen face Jong AZ in Eerste Divisie. Emmen have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 13 and conceding 10 (1.8 points per game). Jong AZ have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 19 and conceding 7 (2.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 95% and Both Teams to Score at 92%.
Jong AZ's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 50% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Jong AZ to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 33% win probability for Emmen, a 15% chance of a draw, and a 50% probability for Jong AZ. Our top recommended betting pick is Jong AZ Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.09 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 92% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Friday, 21 Aug 2026 at 18:00 (East Africa Time) at De Oude Meerdijk as part of the Eerste Divisie.
