Eerste Divisie · Friday, 21 Aug 2026
Helmond Sport
Home
1-1
Full time
GS Staalwerken Stadion
Waalwijk
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.88
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.2 - 1.6
Win probability
Home
21%
Draw
28%
Away
50%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
50%
1.88
Double Chance
Draw/Away
78%
1.21
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.42
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
34%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.8
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Helmond Sport wins
0
Draws
0
Waalwijk wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
40%
26%
Attack
53%
60%
Defence
53%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
21%
Win probability
50%
Home and away record
Helmond Sport
last 4 at home
1W
1D
2L
1.00
points a game
0.75
scored a game
1.25
conceded a game
Waalwijk
last 2 away from home
0W
2D
0L
1.00
points a game
0.50
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
9 matches.
| Helmond Sport | Waalwijk | |
|---|---|---|
| 83% 5/6 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/9 89% |
| 33% 2/6 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/9 44% |
| 0% 0/6 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/9 22% |
| 67% 4/6 | Both teams scored | 6/9 67% |
| 17% 1/6 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/9 22% |
| 17% 1/6 | Failed to score | 2/9 22% |
At half time
Helmond Sport
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
67%
Behind
33%
Waalwijk
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
50%
Behind
25%
Match Preview & Analysis
Helmond Sport face Waalwijk in Eerste Divisie. Helmond Sport have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 6 (1 points per game). Waalwijk have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 7 (1.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 34% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Waalwijk's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 50% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Waalwijk to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 21% win probability for Helmond Sport, a 28% chance of a draw, and a 50% probability for Waalwijk. Our top recommended betting pick is Waalwijk Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.8 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Friday, 21 Aug 2026 at 18:00 (East Africa Time) at GS Staalwerken Stadion as part of the Eerste Divisie.
