Eerste Divisie · Friday, 21 Aug 2026
Vitesse
Home
0-3
Full time
GelreDome
Almere City FC
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.45
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.26 - 0.81
Win probability
Home
65%
Draw
20%
Away
14%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
65%
1.45
Double Chance
Home/Draw
85%
1.11
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.07
Avg goals
Get this match's pick on WhatsApp
Tap, hit send and the bot replies in seconds with the Vitesse v Almere City FC pick. One VIP pick a week is free.
Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Vitesse wins
0
Draws
0
Almere City FC wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
53%
Recent form
66%
40%
Attack
93%
73%
Defence
26%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
65%
Win probability
14%
Home and away record
Vitesse
last 5 at home
1W
3D
1L
1.20
points a game
0.80
scored a game
0.80
conceded a game
Almere City FC
last 4 away from home
0W
1D
3L
0.25
points a game
0.75
scored a game
2.25
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
8 matches.
| Vitesse | Almere City FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 67% 4/6 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/8 100% |
| 33% 2/6 | Over 2.5 goals | 7/8 88% |
| 17% 1/6 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/8 38% |
| 67% 4/6 | Both teams scored | 7/8 88% |
| 33% 2/6 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/8 0% |
| 17% 1/6 | Failed to score | 1/8 13% |
At half time
Vitesse
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
50%
Behind
17%
Almere City FC
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
57%
Behind
43%
Match Preview & Analysis
Vitesse face Almere City FC in Eerste Divisie. Vitesse have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 4 (1.6 points per game). Almere City FC have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 14 and conceding 11 (2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 65% probability backing Vitesse, home advantage and superior chance creation make Vitesse to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 65% win probability for Vitesse, a 20% chance of a draw, and a 14% probability for Almere City FC. Our top recommended betting pick is Vitesse Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.07 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Friday, 21 Aug 2026 at 18:00 (East Africa Time) at GelreDome as part of the Eerste Divisie.
