Primera Nacional · Friday, 21 Aug 2026
San Telmo
Home
2-2
Full time
Estadio Osvaldo Baletto
Deportivo Moron
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.52
Predicted score
1 - 2
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.08 - 1.86
Win probability
Home
16%
Draw
22%
Away
62%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
62%
1.52
Double Chance
Draw/Away
84%
1.12
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.94
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
San Telmo wins
0
Draws
0
Deportivo Moron wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
20%
Recent form
66%
20%
Attack
80%
40%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
16%
Win probability
62%
Home and away record
San Telmo
last 2 at home
1W
0D
1L
1.50
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Deportivo Moron
last 3 away from home
0W
0D
3L
0.00
points a game
0.33
scored a game
1.67
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
7 matches.
| San Telmo | Deportivo Moron | |
|---|---|---|
| 67% 4/6 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/7 86% |
| 67% 4/6 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/7 57% |
| 17% 1/6 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/7 43% |
| 50% 3/6 | Both teams scored | 3/7 43% |
| 17% 1/6 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/7 29% |
| 33% 2/6 | Failed to score | 2/7 29% |
At half time
San Telmo
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
33%
Behind
67%
Deportivo Moron
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
57%
Level
43%
Behind
0%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |
Deportivo Moron |
35 | 17 | 7 | 11 | +14 | 58 |
| 16 |
San Telmo |
35 | 9 | 11 | 15 | -12 | 38 |
Match Preview & Analysis
San Telmo face Deportivo Moron in Primera Nacional. San Telmo have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 9 (0.6 points per game). Deportivo Moron have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 12 and conceding 5 (2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Deportivo Moron's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 62% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Deportivo Moron to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-2, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 16% win probability for San Telmo, a 22% chance of a draw, and a 62% probability for Deportivo Moron. Our top recommended betting pick is Deportivo Moron Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 2, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.94 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Friday, 21 Aug 2026 at 18:30 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Osvaldo Baletto as part of the Primera Nacional.
