FAW Championship · Friday, 21 Aug 2026
Newport City
Home
0-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Baglan Dragons
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.15
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.67 - 0.59
Win probability
Home
82%
Draw
14%
Away
4%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
82%
1.15
Double Chance
Home/Draw
96%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
72%
1.31
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
28%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.26
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Newport City wins
0
Draws
0
Baglan Dragons wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
50%
Recent form
44%
75%
Attack
11%
33%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
82%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Newport City
last 2 at home
0W
0D
2L
0.00
points a game
0.50
scored a game
3.50
conceded a game
Baglan Dragons
last 2 away from home
1W
1D
0L
2.00
points a game
0.50
scored a game
0.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
4 matches.
| Newport City | Baglan Dragons | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 4/4 | Over 1.5 goals | 1/3 33% |
| 100% 4/4 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/3 33% |
| 75% 3/4 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/3 0% |
| 50% 2/4 | Both teams scored | 0/3 0% |
| 25% 1/4 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/3 67% |
| 25% 1/4 | Failed to score | 2/3 67% |
At half time
Newport City
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
0%
Behind
50%
Baglan Dragons
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
33%
Behind
33%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 |
Baglan Dragons |
12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | -1 | 17 |
| 13 |
Newport City |
10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | +4 | 12 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Newport City face Baglan Dragons in FAW Championship. Newport City have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 4 games, scoring 9 and conceding 8 (1.5 points per game). Baglan Dragons have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 3 games, scoring 1 and conceding 3 (1.33 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 28%.
With a 82% probability backing Newport City, home advantage and superior chance creation make Newport City to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 82% win probability for Newport City, a 14% chance of a draw, and a 4% probability for Baglan Dragons. Our top recommended betting pick is Newport City Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.26 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 28%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Friday, 21 Aug 2026 at 18:30 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the FAW Championship.
