FAW Championship · Friday, 21 Aug 2026
Newport City
Home
0-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Baglan Dragons
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.15
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.67 - 0.59
Win probability
Home
82%
Draw
14%
Away
4%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
82%
1.15
Double Chance
Home/Draw
96%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
72%
1.31
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
28%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.26
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Newport City wins
0
Draws
0
Baglan Dragons wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
50%
Recent form
44%
75%
Attack
11%
33%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
82%
Win probability
5%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Bag Baglan Dragons | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 7 |
| 7 | New Newport City | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +5 | 6 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Newport City face Baglan Dragons in FAW Championship. Newport City have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 4 games, scoring 9 and conceding 8 (1.5 points per game). Baglan Dragons have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 3 games, scoring 1 and conceding 3 (1.33 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 28%.
With a 82% probability backing Newport City, home advantage and superior chance creation make Newport City to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 82% win probability for Newport City, a 14% chance of a draw, and a 4% probability for Baglan Dragons. Our top recommended betting pick is Newport City Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.26 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 28%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Friday, 21 Aug 2026 at 18:30 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the FAW Championship.
