Ligue 1 · Friday, 21 Aug 2026
Marseille
Home
4-0
Full time
CEPAC Vélodrome
Strasbourg
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.74
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2 - 1.07
Win probability
Home
54%
Draw
20%
Away
26%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
54%
1.74
Double Chance
Home/Away
80%
1.18
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
75%
1.25
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
72%
1.31
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
75%
Over 2.5
72%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.07
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Marseille wins
0
Draws
0
Strasbourg wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
6%
66%
Attack
40%
55%
Defence
6%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
54%
Win probability
26%
Home and away record
Marseille
last 3 at home
2W
0D
1L
2.00
points a game
2.00
scored a game
1.33
conceded a game
Strasbourg
last 4 away from home
0W
1D
3L
0.25
points a game
1.00
scored a game
3.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
6 matches.
| Marseille | Strasbourg | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 3/3 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/6 100% |
| 100% 3/3 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/6 50% |
| 33% 1/3 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/6 50% |
| 100% 3/3 | Both teams scored | 3/6 50% |
| 0% 0/3 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/6 0% |
| 0% 0/3 | Failed to score | 3/6 50% |
At half time
Marseille
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
67%
Behind
0%
Strasbourg
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
20%
Behind
80%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 |
Marseille |
10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | +8 | 18 |
| 13 |
Strasbourg |
10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -4 | 10 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Marseille face Strasbourg in Ligue 1. Marseille have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 3 games, scoring 6 and conceding 4 (2 points per game). Strasbourg have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 14 (0.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 75% and Both Teams to Score at 72%.
With a 54% probability backing Marseille, home advantage and superior chance creation make Marseille to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 54% win probability for Marseille, a 20% chance of a draw, and a 26% probability for Strasbourg. Our top recommended betting pick is Marseille Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.07 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 72% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Friday, 21 Aug 2026 at 18:45 (East Africa Time) at CEPAC Vélodrome as part of the Ligue 1.
