FAW Championship · Friday, 21 Aug 2026
Denbigh Town
Home
2-3
Full time
Venue TBC
Porthmadog
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.54
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.13 - 1.84
Win probability
Home
18%
Draw
21%
Away
61%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
61%
1.54
Double Chance
Draw/Away
82%
1.15
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.97
Avg goals
Get this match's pick on WhatsApp
Tap, hit send and the bot replies in seconds with the Denbigh Town v Porthmadog pick. One VIP pick a week is free.
Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Denbigh Town wins
0
Draws
0
Porthmadog wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
50%
Recent form
77%
66%
Attack
55%
41%
Defence
77%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
18%
Win probability
61%
Home and away record
Denbigh Town
last 1 at home
0W
0D
1L
0.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Porthmadog
last 2 away from home
1W
1D
0L
2.00
points a game
2.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
4 matches.
| Denbigh Town | Porthmadog | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 4/4 | Over 1.5 goals | 2/3 67% |
| 100% 4/4 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/3 33% |
| 25% 1/4 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/3 33% |
| 100% 4/4 | Both teams scored | 2/3 67% |
| 0% 0/4 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/3 33% |
| 0% 0/4 | Failed to score | 0/3 0% |
At half time
Denbigh Town
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
50%
Behind
0%
Porthmadog
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
67%
Behind
0%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 |
Porthmadog |
13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | +6 | 24 |
| 12 |
Denbigh Town |
12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | -2 | 13 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Denbigh Town face Porthmadog in FAW Championship. Denbigh Town have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 4 games, scoring 8 and conceding 7 (1.5 points per game). Porthmadog have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 3 games, scoring 5 and conceding 2 (2.33 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Porthmadog's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 61% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Porthmadog to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 18% win probability for Denbigh Town, a 21% chance of a draw, and a 61% probability for Porthmadog. Our top recommended betting pick is Porthmadog Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.97 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Friday, 21 Aug 2026 at 18:45 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the FAW Championship.
