Segunda Liga · Friday, 21 Aug 2026
Tondela
Home
0-2
Full time
Estádio João Cardoso
Academica
Away
Recommended tip
- @ -
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
No tip for this market.
Double Chance
Home/Draw
64%
1.47
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
1
Tondela wins
0
Draws
0
Academica wins
22 Jul 2026
Tondela
2 - 1
Academica
Why this prediction
26%
Recent form
73%
33%
Attack
66%
46%
Defence
73%
95%
Head-to-head
5%
40%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
Tondela
last 6 at home
3W
2D
1L
1.83
points a game
1.33
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Academica
last 8 away from home
3W
2D
3L
1.38
points a game
1.38
scored a game
1.63
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Tondela | Academica | |
|---|---|---|
| 67% 6/9 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 44% 4/9 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 11% 1/9 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 67% 6/9 | Both teams scored | 5/10 50% |
| 11% 1/9 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/10 30% |
| 22% 2/9 | Failed to score | 3/10 30% |
At half time
Tondela
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
67%
Level
33%
Behind
0%
Academica
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
57%
Level
14%
Behind
29%
Match Preview & Analysis
Tondela face Academica in Segunda Liga. Tondela have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 8 (0.8 points per game). Academica have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 4 (2.2 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Tondela won 1, Academica won 0 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match outcome). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for Tondela, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for Academica. Our top recommended betting pick is Double Chance / 1X2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Friday, 21 Aug 2026 at 19:15 (East Africa Time) at Estádio João Cardoso as part of the Segunda Liga.
