Liga 3 · Friday, 21 Aug 2026
Fafe
Home
1-1
Full time
Parque Municipal dos Desportos de Fafe
Guimaraes B
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.27
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.48 - 0.74
Win probability
Home
74%
Draw
15%
Away
11%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
74%
1.27
Double Chance
Home/Draw
89%
1.06
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
75%
1.25
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
75%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.22
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Fafe wins
0
Draws
0
Guimaraes B wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
66%
46%
Attack
66%
66%
Defence
44%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
74%
Win probability
11%
Home and away record
Fafe
last 2 at home
1W
1D
0L
2.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
0.00
conceded a game
Guimaraes B
last 2 away from home
1W
0D
1L
1.50
points a game
2.00
scored a game
2.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
6 matches.
| Fafe | Guimaraes B | |
|---|---|---|
| 67% 4/6 | Over 1.5 goals | 3/3 100% |
| 50% 3/6 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/3 67% |
| 33% 2/6 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/3 67% |
| 33% 2/6 | Both teams scored | 2/3 67% |
| 67% 4/6 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/3 33% |
| 17% 1/6 | Failed to score | 0/3 0% |
At half time
Fafe
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
50%
Behind
0%
Guimaraes B
from 2 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
50%
Behind
50%
Match Preview & Analysis
Fafe face Guimaraes B in Liga 3. Fafe have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 5 (2 points per game). Guimaraes B have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 3 games, scoring 6 and conceding 5 (2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 75% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 74% probability backing Fafe, home advantage and superior chance creation make Fafe to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 74% win probability for Fafe, a 15% chance of a draw, and a 11% probability for Guimaraes B. Our top recommended betting pick is Fafe Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.22 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Friday, 21 Aug 2026 at 19:30 (East Africa Time) at Parque Municipal dos Desportos de Fafe as part of the Liga 3.
