Liga Nacional · Saturday, 22 Aug 2026
CD Motagua
Home
4-1
Full time
Estadio Nacional Jose de la Paz Herrera Ucles
Lobos Upnfm
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.47
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.24 - 0.83
Win probability
Home
64%
Draw
21%
Away
15%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
64%
1.47
Double Chance
Home/Draw
85%
1.11
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.07
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
CD Motagua wins
0
Draws
0
Lobos Upnfm wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
22%
40%
Attack
33%
60%
Defence
44%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
64%
Win probability
15%
Home and away record
CD Motagua
last 3 at home
1W
1D
1L
1.33
points a game
0.67
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Lobos Upnfm
last 1 away from home
0W
0D
1L
0.00
points a game
0.00
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
6 matches.
| CD Motagua | Lobos Upnfm | |
|---|---|---|
| 83% 5/6 | Over 1.5 goals | 3/3 100% |
| 50% 3/6 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/3 33% |
| 33% 2/6 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/3 33% |
| 33% 2/6 | Both teams scored | 2/3 67% |
| 50% 3/6 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/3 0% |
| 17% 1/6 | Failed to score | 1/3 33% |
At half time
CD Motagua
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
17%
Level
83%
Behind
0%
Lobos Upnfm
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
67%
Behind
33%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |
CD Motagua |
12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | +10 | 25 |
| 7 |
Lobos Upnfm |
12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -1 | 15 |
Match Preview & Analysis
CD Motagua face Lobos Upnfm in Liga Nacional. CD Motagua have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 6 (1.4 points per game). Lobos Upnfm have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 3 games, scoring 3 and conceding 5 (0.67 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 64% probability backing CD Motagua, home advantage and superior chance creation make CD Motagua to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 64% win probability for CD Motagua, a 21% chance of a draw, and a 15% probability for Lobos Upnfm. Our top recommended betting pick is CD Motagua Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.07 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 22 Aug 2026 at 01:00 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Nacional Jose de la Paz Herrera Ucles as part of the Liga Nacional.
