Liga de Expansión MX · Saturday, 22 Aug 2026
CA La Paz
Home
1-1
Full time
Estadio Guaycura
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.01
Predicted score
3 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.96 - 0.5
Win probability
Home
94%
Draw
2%
Away
0%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
94%
1.01
Double Chance
Home/Draw
96%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
81%
1.16
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
81%
1.16
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
81%
Over 2.5
19%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.46
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
CA La Paz wins
0
Draws
0
Cruz Azul Hidalgo wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
16%
73%
Attack
16%
53%
Defence
50%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
94%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
CA La Paz
last 2 at home
1W
0D
1L
1.50
points a game
1.00
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
last 2 away from home
0W
1D
1L
0.50
points a game
0.00
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
5 matches.
| CA La Paz | Cruz Azul Hidalgo | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 4/5 | Over 1.5 goals | 3/4 75% |
| 60% 3/5 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/4 50% |
| 60% 3/5 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/4 0% |
| 40% 2/5 | Both teams scored | 2/4 50% |
| 40% 2/5 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/4 25% |
| 20% 1/5 | Failed to score | 2/4 50% |
At half time
CA La Paz
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
75%
Level
25%
Behind
0%
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
50%
Behind
50%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 |
CA La Paz |
10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +12 | 20 |
| 15 |
Cruz Azul Hidalgo |
10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -7 | 7 |
Match Preview & Analysis
CA La Paz face Cruz Azul Hidalgo in Liga de Expansión MX. CA La Paz have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 7 (1.4 points per game). Cruz Azul Hidalgo have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 4 games, scoring 2 and conceding 6 (0.5 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 81% and Both Teams to Score at 19%.
With a 94% probability backing CA La Paz, home advantage and superior chance creation make CA La Paz to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 3-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 94% win probability for CA La Paz, a 2% chance of a draw, and a 0% probability for Cruz Azul Hidalgo. Our top recommended betting pick is CA La Paz Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 3 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.46 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 19%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 22 Aug 2026 at 03:00 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Guaycura as part of the Liga de Expansión MX.
