J2 League · Saturday, 22 Aug 2026
Sagan Tosu
Home
1-3
Full time
Ekimae Real Estate Stadium
Tochigi City
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.07
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.81 - 0.59
Win probability
Home
88%
Draw
8%
Away
4%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
88%
1.07
Double Chance
Home/Draw
96%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
75%
1.25
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
75%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.4
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Sagan Tosu wins
0
Draws
0
Tochigi City wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
77%
Recent form
33%
95%
Attack
55%
89%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
88%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Sagan Tosu
last 2 at home
2W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
4.50
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Tochigi City
last 2 away from home
0W
0D
2L
0.00
points a game
0.00
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
3 matches.
| Sagan Tosu | Tochigi City | |
|---|---|---|
| 67% 2/3 | Over 1.5 goals | 2/3 67% |
| 33% 1/3 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/3 33% |
| 33% 1/3 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/3 33% |
| 33% 1/3 | Both teams scored | 0/3 0% |
| 67% 2/3 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/3 33% |
| 33% 1/3 | Failed to score | 2/3 67% |
At half time
Sagan Tosu
from 2 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
50%
Behind
0%
Tochigi City
from 2 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
0%
Behind
50%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 |
Sagan Tosu |
16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | -3 | 20 |
| 18 |
Tochigi City |
16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | -10 | 12 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Sagan Tosu face Tochigi City in J2 League. Sagan Tosu have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 3 games, scoring 9 and conceding 1 (2.33 points per game). Tochigi City have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 3 games, scoring 5 and conceding 3 (1 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 75% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 88% probability backing Sagan Tosu, home advantage and superior chance creation make Sagan Tosu to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 88% win probability for Sagan Tosu, a 8% chance of a draw, and a 4% probability for Tochigi City. Our top recommended betting pick is Sagan Tosu Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.4 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 22 Aug 2026 at 10:00 (East Africa Time) at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium as part of the J2 League.
