League One · Saturday, 22 Aug 2026
Luton
Home
2-2
Full time
Kenilworth Road
Notts County
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.15
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.67 - 0.63
Win probability
Home
82%
Draw
11%
Away
6%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
82%
1.15
Double Chance
Home/Draw
93%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
74%
1.27
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
74%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.3
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Luton wins
0
Draws
0
Notts County wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
20%
73%
Attack
20%
60%
Defence
53%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
82%
Win probability
6%
Home and away record
Luton
last 2 at home
1W
0D
1L
1.50
points a game
1.00
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Notts County
last 5 away from home
1W
2D
2L
1.00
points a game
1.40
scored a game
1.20
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
7 matches.
| Luton | Notts County | |
|---|---|---|
| 83% 5/6 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/7 86% |
| 67% 4/6 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/7 29% |
| 50% 3/6 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/7 29% |
| 33% 2/6 | Both teams scored | 3/7 43% |
| 50% 3/6 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/7 29% |
| 17% 1/6 | Failed to score | 3/7 43% |
At half time
Luton
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
17%
Behind
33%
Notts County
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
29%
Level
43%
Behind
29%
Match Preview & Analysis
Luton face Notts County in League One. Luton have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 6 (2 points per game). Notts County have won 0, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 7 (0.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 74% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 82% probability backing Luton, home advantage and superior chance creation make Luton to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 82% win probability for Luton, a 11% chance of a draw, and a 6% probability for Notts County. Our top recommended betting pick is Luton Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.3 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 22 Aug 2026 at 11:30 (East Africa Time) at Kenilworth Road as part of the League One.
