National League · Saturday, 22 Aug 2026
Carlisle
Home
4-1
Full time
Brunton Park
AFC Hornchurch
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.68
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.25 - 1.73
Win probability
Home
23%
Draw
20%
Away
56%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
56%
1.68
Double Chance
Draw/Away
76%
1.24
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
70%
1.34
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
67%
1.40
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
70%
Over 2.5
67%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.98
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Carlisle wins
0
Draws
0
AFC Hornchurch wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
60%
66%
Attack
66%
46%
Defence
53%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
23%
Win probability
56%
Home and away record
Carlisle
last 2 at home
0W
0D
2L
0.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
2.50
conceded a game
AFC Hornchurch
last 3 away from home
2W
0D
1L
2.00
points a game
2.33
scored a game
1.67
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Carlisle | AFC Hornchurch | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 5/5 | Over 1.5 goals | 10/10 100% |
| 60% 3/5 | Over 2.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 40% 2/5 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/10 20% |
| 60% 3/5 | Both teams scored | 6/10 60% |
| 20% 1/5 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/10 40% |
| 20% 1/5 | Failed to score | 0/10 0% |
At half time
Carlisle
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
20%
Behind
40%
AFC Hornchurch
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
56%
Level
33%
Behind
11%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 |
Carlisle |
16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | +9 | 26 |
| 15 |
AFC Hornchurch |
16 | 7 | 0 | 9 | -8 | 21 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Carlisle face AFC Hornchurch in National League. Carlisle have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 8 (1.4 points per game). AFC Hornchurch have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 7 (1.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 70% and Both Teams to Score at 67%.
AFC Hornchurch's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 56% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for AFC Hornchurch to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 23% win probability for Carlisle, a 20% chance of a draw, and a 56% probability for AFC Hornchurch. Our top recommended betting pick is AFC Hornchurch Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.98 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 67% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 22 Aug 2026 at 11:30 (East Africa Time) at Brunton Park as part of the National League.
