National League · Saturday, 22 Aug 2026
Sutton Utd
Home
2-1
Full time
VBS Community Stadium
Hartlepool
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.24
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.52 - 0.74
Win probability
Home
76%
Draw
13%
Away
11%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
76%
1.24
Double Chance
Home/Draw
89%
1.06
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
80%
1.18
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
65%
1.45
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
80%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.26
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Sutton Utd wins
0
Draws
0
Hartlepool wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
86%
Recent form
60%
60%
Attack
26%
80%
Defence
13%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
76%
Win probability
11%
Home and away record
Sutton Utd
last 7 at home
4W
2D
1L
2.00
points a game
1.43
scored a game
0.86
conceded a game
Hartlepool
last 4 away from home
4W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
2.50
scored a game
1.25
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Sutton Utd | Hartlepool | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 8/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/8 75% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/8 63% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/8 38% |
| 50% 5/10 | Both teams scored | 3/8 38% |
| 50% 5/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/8 38% |
| 10% 1/10 | Failed to score | 2/8 25% |
At half time
Sutton Utd
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
60%
Level
40%
Behind
0%
Hartlepool
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
50%
Behind
25%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 |
Sutton Utd |
16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | -1 | 24 |
| 21 |
Hartlepool |
16 | 5 | 0 | 11 | -9 | 15 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Sutton Utd face Hartlepool in National League. Sutton Utd have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 3 (2.6 points per game). Hartlepool have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 13 (1.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 80% and Both Teams to Score at 65%.
With a 76% probability backing Sutton Utd, home advantage and superior chance creation make Sutton Utd to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 76% win probability for Sutton Utd, a 13% chance of a draw, and a 11% probability for Hartlepool. Our top recommended betting pick is Sutton Utd Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.26 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 65% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 22 Aug 2026 at 11:30 (East Africa Time) at VBS Community Stadium as part of the National League.
