1. Liga · Saturday, 22 Aug 2026
Valmiera / BSS
Home
4-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Mārupe
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.31
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.43 - 0.76
Win probability
Home
72%
Draw
16%
Away
12%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
72%
1.31
Double Chance
Home/Draw
88%
1.07
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
70%
1.34
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
70%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.19
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Valmiera / BSS wins
0
Draws
0
Mārupe wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
80%
Recent form
40%
93%
Attack
40%
60%
Defence
26%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
72%
Win probability
12%
Home and away record
Valmiera / BSS
last 4 at home
3W
0D
1L
2.25
points a game
2.75
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Mārupe
last 3 away from home
1W
0D
2L
1.00
points a game
1.33
scored a game
2.33
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
8 matches.
| Valmiera / BSS | Mārupe | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 8/8 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/8 75% |
| 88% 7/8 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/8 63% |
| 50% 4/8 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/8 25% |
| 63% 5/8 | Both teams scored | 4/8 50% |
| 38% 3/8 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/8 0% |
| 0% 0/8 | Failed to score | 4/8 50% |
At half time
Valmiera / BSS
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
75%
Level
25%
Behind
0%
Mārupe
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
38%
Behind
63%
Match Preview & Analysis
Valmiera / BSS face Mārupe in 1. Liga. Valmiera / BSS have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 14 and conceding 6 (2.4 points per game). Mārupe have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 11 (1.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 70% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 72% probability backing Valmiera / BSS, home advantage and superior chance creation make Valmiera / BSS to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 72% win probability for Valmiera / BSS, a 16% chance of a draw, and a 12% probability for Mārupe. Our top recommended betting pick is Valmiera / BSS Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.19 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 22 Aug 2026 at 12:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the 1. Liga.
