Second League - Group 3 · Saturday, 22 Aug 2026
Metallurg Lipetsk
Home
2-1
Full time
Stadion Metallurg
Avangard Kursk
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.81
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.95 - 0.94
Win probability
Home
52%
Draw
28%
Away
20%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
52%
1.81
Double Chance
Home/Draw
80%
1.18
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.42
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
34%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.89
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Metallurg Lipetsk wins
0
Draws
0
Avangard Kursk wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
33%
46%
Attack
33%
66%
Defence
53%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
52%
Win probability
20%
Home and away record
Metallurg Lipetsk
last 2 at home
1W
1D
0L
2.00
points a game
1.50
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Avangard Kursk
last 1 away from home
0W
1D
0L
1.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
7 matches.
| Metallurg Lipetsk | Avangard Kursk | |
|---|---|---|
| 71% 5/7 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/7 86% |
| 57% 4/7 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/7 43% |
| 43% 3/7 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/7 29% |
| 43% 3/7 | Both teams scored | 5/7 71% |
| 57% 4/7 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/7 14% |
| 29% 2/7 | Failed to score | 1/7 14% |
At half time
Metallurg Lipetsk
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
43%
Level
43%
Behind
14%
Avangard Kursk
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
14%
Level
86%
Behind
0%
Match Preview & Analysis
Metallurg Lipetsk face Avangard Kursk in Second League - Group 3. Metallurg Lipetsk have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 5 (1.2 points per game). Avangard Kursk have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 7 (1 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 34% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 52% probability backing Metallurg Lipetsk, home advantage and superior chance creation make Metallurg Lipetsk to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 52% win probability for Metallurg Lipetsk, a 28% chance of a draw, and a 20% probability for Avangard Kursk. Our top recommended betting pick is Metallurg Lipetsk Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.89 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 22 Aug 2026 at 12:00 (East Africa Time) at Stadion Metallurg as part of the Second League - Group 3.
