Derde Divisie · Saturday, 22 Aug 2026
Excelsior Maassluis
Home
3-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Groene Ster
Away
Recommended tip
- @ -
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
No tip for this market.
Double Chance
Home/Draw
60%
1.57
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Excelsior Maassluis wins
0
Draws
0
Groene Ster wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
77%
Recent form
5%
89%
Attack
33%
66%
Defence
5%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
40%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
Excelsior Maassluis
last 2 at home
2W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
3.50
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Groene Ster
last 0 away from home
No away from home games on record yet.
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
3 matches.
| Excelsior Maassluis | Groene Ster | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 3/3 | Over 1.5 goals | 1/1 100% |
| 67% 2/3 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/1 100% |
| 33% 1/3 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/1 100% |
| 67% 2/3 | Both teams scored | 1/1 100% |
| 33% 1/3 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/1 0% |
| 0% 0/3 | Failed to score | 0/1 0% |
At half time
Excelsior Maassluis
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
67%
Level
0%
Behind
33%
Groene Ster
from 1 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
0%
Behind
100%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |
Excelsior Maassluis |
12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | +13 | 26 |
| 16 |
Groene Ster |
12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -17 | 9 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Excelsior Maassluis face Groene Ster in Derde Divisie. Excelsior Maassluis have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 3 games, scoring 8 and conceding 3 (2.33 points per game). Groene Ster have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 1 games, scoring 1 and conceding 3 (0 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match outcome). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for Excelsior Maassluis, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for Groene Ster. Our top recommended betting pick is Double Chance / 1X2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 22 Aug 2026 at 12:30 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Derde Divisie.
