Premiership · Tuesday, 15 Sep 2026
Motherwell
Home
0-4
Full time
Fir Park
Aberdeen
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.96
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.32 - 1.56
Win probability
Home
26%
Draw
26%
Away
48%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
48%
1.96
Double Chance
Draw/Away
74%
1.27
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.88
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Motherwell wins
0
Draws
0
Aberdeen wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
26%
Recent form
33%
53%
Attack
26%
26%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
26%
Win probability
48%
Home and away record
Motherwell
last 6 at home
3W
1D
2L
1.67
points a game
1.83
scored a game
1.17
conceded a game
Aberdeen
last 8 away from home
4W
1D
3L
1.63
points a game
1.25
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Motherwell | Aberdeen | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/10 10% |
| 50% 5/10 | Both teams scored | 4/10 40% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/10 30% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 4/10 40% |
At half time
Motherwell
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
60%
Behind
20%
Aberdeen
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
50%
Behind
30%
Match Preview & Analysis
Motherwell face Aberdeen in Premiership. Motherwell have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 11 (0.8 points per game). Aberdeen have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 5 (1 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Aberdeen's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 48% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Aberdeen to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 26% win probability for Motherwell, a 26% chance of a draw, and a 48% probability for Aberdeen. Our top recommended betting pick is Aberdeen Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.88 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Tuesday, 15 Sep 2026 at 18:45 (East Africa Time) at Fir Park as part of the Premiership.
