Championship · Saturday, 22 Aug 2026
Morton
Home
1-2
Full time
Cappielow Park
Arbroath
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.81
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.16 - 1.64
Win probability
Home
19%
Draw
30%
Away
52%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
52%
1.81
Double Chance
Draw/Away
82%
1.15
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
1.34
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
66%
1.42
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
30%
Over 2.5
34%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.8
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Morton wins
0
Draws
0
Arbroath wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
5%
Recent form
26%
5%
Attack
6%
40%
Defence
53%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
19%
Win probability
52%
Home and away record
Morton
last 4 at home
0W
1D
3L
0.25
points a game
0.00
scored a game
0.75
conceded a game
Arbroath
last 4 away from home
2W
0D
2L
1.50
points a game
1.50
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
9 matches.
| Morton | Arbroath | |
|---|---|---|
| 43% 3/7 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/9 78% |
| 14% 1/7 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/9 56% |
| 0% 0/7 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/9 33% |
| 0% 0/7 | Both teams scored | 3/9 33% |
| 14% 1/7 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/9 33% |
| 100% 7/7 | Failed to score | 4/9 44% |
At half time
Morton
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
71%
Behind
29%
Arbroath
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
22%
Behind
44%
Match Preview & Analysis
Morton face Arbroath in Championship. Morton have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 5 games, scoring 0 and conceding 9 (0 points per game). Arbroath have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 1 and conceding 7 (0.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 30% and Both Teams to Score at 34%.
Arbroath's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 52% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Arbroath to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 19% win probability for Morton, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 52% probability for Arbroath. Our top recommended betting pick is Arbroath Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.8 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 34%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 22 Aug 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at Cappielow Park as part of the Championship.
