Premier League · Saturday, 22 Aug 2026
Nottingham Forest
Home
0-1
Full time
City Ground
Leeds
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.88
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.9 - 1.07
Win probability
Home
50%
Draw
23%
Away
26%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
50%
1.88
Double Chance
Home/Draw
73%
1.29
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.97
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Nottingham Forest wins
0
Draws
0
Leeds wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
86%
33%
Attack
80%
53%
Defence
80%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
50%
Win probability
26%
Home and away record
Nottingham Forest
last 4 at home
3W
1D
0L
2.50
points a game
2.00
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Leeds
last 3 away from home
2W
0D
1L
2.00
points a game
2.33
scored a game
1.67
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
9 matches.
| Nottingham Forest | Leeds | |
|---|---|---|
| 78% 7/9 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/6 83% |
| 44% 4/9 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/6 50% |
| 11% 1/9 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/6 50% |
| 44% 4/9 | Both teams scored | 3/6 50% |
| 33% 3/9 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/6 50% |
| 22% 2/9 | Failed to score | 0/6 0% |
At half time
Nottingham Forest
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
44%
Level
22%
Behind
33%
Leeds
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
33%
Behind
17%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 |
Leeds |
6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +3 | 9 |
| 16 |
Nottingham Forest |
10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 9 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Nottingham Forest face Leeds in Premier League. Nottingham Forest have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 7 (1.2 points per game). Leeds have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 12 and conceding 3 (2.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 50% probability backing Nottingham Forest, home advantage and superior chance creation make Nottingham Forest to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 50% win probability for Nottingham Forest, a 23% chance of a draw, and a 26% probability for Leeds. Our top recommended betting pick is Nottingham Forest Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.97 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 22 Aug 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at City Ground as part of the Premier League.
