Championship · Saturday, 22 Aug 2026
Southampton
Home
3-1
Full time
St. Mary's Stadium
Stoke City
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.36
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.36 - 0.74
Win probability
Home
69%
Draw
20%
Away
11%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
69%
1.36
Double Chance
Home/Draw
89%
1.06
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.1
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Southampton wins
0
Draws
0
Stoke City wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
75%
Recent form
33%
66%
Attack
33%
66%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
69%
Win probability
11%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Sto Stoke City | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 13 |
| 13 | Sou Southampton | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +9 | 10 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Southampton face Stoke City in Championship. Southampton have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 4 games, scoring 8 and conceding 4 (2.25 points per game). Stoke City have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 5 (1 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 69% probability backing Southampton, home advantage and superior chance creation make Southampton to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 69% win probability for Southampton, a 20% chance of a draw, and a 11% probability for Stoke City. Our top recommended betting pick is Southampton Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.1 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 22 Aug 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at St. Mary's Stadium as part of the Championship.
