League Two · Saturday, 22 Aug 2026
Crewe
Home
1-0
Full time
Alexandra Stadium
Northampton
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.06
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.84 - 0.54
Win probability
Home
89%
Draw
9%
Away
2%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
89%
1.06
Double Chance
Home/Draw
98%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
63%
1.49
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
74%
1.27
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
63%
Over 2.5
26%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.38
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Crewe wins
0
Draws
0
Northampton wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
73%
Recent form
33%
46%
Attack
26%
86%
Defence
60%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
89%
Win probability
5%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Cre Crewe | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 6 |
| 18 | Nor Northampton | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Crewe face Northampton in League Two. Crewe have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 2 (2.2 points per game). Northampton have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 6 (1 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 63% and Both Teams to Score at 26%.
With a 89% probability backing Crewe, home advantage and superior chance creation make Crewe to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 89% win probability for Crewe, a 9% chance of a draw, and a 2% probability for Northampton. Our top recommended betting pick is Crewe Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.38 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 26%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 22 Aug 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at Alexandra Stadium as part of the League Two.
