League Two · Saturday, 22 Aug 2026
Swindon Town
Home
2-1
Full time
County Ground
Cheltenham
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.68
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.04 - 1.07
Win probability
Home
56%
Draw
17%
Away
26%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
56%
1.68
Double Chance
Home/Away
82%
1.15
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
86%
1.09
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
81%
1.16
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
86%
Over 2.5
81%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.11
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Swindon Town wins
0
Draws
0
Cheltenham wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
50%
60%
Attack
50%
46%
Defence
50%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
56%
Win probability
26%
Home and away record
Swindon Town
last 4 at home
2W
0D
2L
1.50
points a game
1.75
scored a game
1.25
conceded a game
Cheltenham
last 1 away from home
1W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
3.00
scored a game
0.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
8 matches.
| Swindon Town | Cheltenham | |
|---|---|---|
| 75% 6/8 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/4 100% |
| 75% 6/8 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/4 75% |
| 63% 5/8 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/4 25% |
| 63% 5/8 | Both teams scored | 2/4 50% |
| 25% 2/8 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/4 25% |
| 25% 2/8 | Failed to score | 1/4 25% |
At half time
Swindon Town
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
13%
Behind
38%
Cheltenham
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
25%
Behind
25%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 |
Cheltenham |
14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 21 |
| 13 |
Swindon Town |
14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | -2 | 19 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Swindon Town face Cheltenham in League Two. Swindon Town have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 8 (1.4 points per game). Cheltenham have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 4 games, scoring 6 and conceding 6 (1.5 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 86% and Both Teams to Score at 81%.
With a 56% probability backing Swindon Town, home advantage and superior chance creation make Swindon Town to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 56% win probability for Swindon Town, a 17% chance of a draw, and a 26% probability for Cheltenham. Our top recommended betting pick is Swindon Town Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.11 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 81% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 22 Aug 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at County Ground as part of the League Two.
