League One · Saturday, 22 Aug 2026
Leicester
Home
1-2
Full time
King Power Stadium
Burton Albion
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.24
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.52 - 0.59
Win probability
Home
76%
Draw
20%
Away
4%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
76%
1.24
Double Chance
Home/Draw
96%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.38
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
83%
1.13
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
32%
Over 2.5
17%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.11
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
1
Leicester wins
0
Draws
0
Burton Albion wins
18 Jul 2026
Burton Albion
0 - 3
Leicester
Why this prediction
53%
Recent form
33%
40%
Attack
26%
66%
Defence
66%
95%
Head-to-head
5%
76%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Leicester
last 3 at home
2W
0D
1L
2.00
points a game
1.33
scored a game
0.33
conceded a game
Burton Albion
last 2 away from home
0W
2D
0L
1.00
points a game
0.50
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
8 matches.
| Leicester | Burton Albion | |
|---|---|---|
| 63% 5/8 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/7 57% |
| 50% 4/8 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/7 29% |
| 13% 1/8 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/7 0% |
| 38% 3/8 | Both teams scored | 3/7 43% |
| 50% 4/8 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/7 29% |
| 13% 1/8 | Failed to score | 3/7 43% |
At half time
Leicester
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
57%
Level
43%
Behind
0%
Burton Albion
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
29%
Level
43%
Behind
29%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 |
Leicester |
13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | +3 | 19 |
| 15 |
Burton Albion |
14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | -3 | 17 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Leicester face Burton Albion in League One. Leicester have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 5 (1.6 points per game). Burton Albion have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 5 (1 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Leicester won 1, Burton Albion won 0 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 32% and Both Teams to Score at 17%.
With a 76% probability backing Leicester, home advantage and superior chance creation make Leicester to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 76% win probability for Leicester, a 20% chance of a draw, and a 4% probability for Burton Albion. Our top recommended betting pick is Leicester Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.11 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 17%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 22 Aug 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at King Power Stadium as part of the League One.
