League One · Saturday, 22 Aug 2026
Stevenage
Home
1-2
Full time
Lamex Stadium
Oxford United
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 2.14
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.76 - 1.01
Win probability
Home
44%
Draw
32%
Away
23%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
44%
2.14
Double Chance
Home/Draw
76%
1.24
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
74%
1.27
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
67%
1.40
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
26%
Over 2.5
33%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.77
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Stevenage wins
0
Draws
0
Oxford United wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
66%
33%
Attack
60%
53%
Defence
60%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
44%
Win probability
23%
Home and away record
Stevenage
last 3 at home
2W
0D
1L
2.00
points a game
0.67
scored a game
1.67
conceded a game
Oxford United
last 3 away from home
2W
0D
1L
2.00
points a game
1.67
scored a game
1.33
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
6 matches.
| Stevenage | Oxford United | |
|---|---|---|
| 50% 3/6 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/6 100% |
| 33% 2/6 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/6 67% |
| 17% 1/6 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/6 50% |
| 33% 2/6 | Both teams scored | 4/6 67% |
| 50% 3/6 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/6 17% |
| 33% 2/6 | Failed to score | 1/6 17% |
At half time
Stevenage
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
17%
Level
67%
Behind
17%
Oxford United
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
50%
Behind
17%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |
Oxford United |
13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | +11 | 26 |
| 16 |
Stevenage |
12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | +4 | 16 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Stevenage face Oxford United in League One. Stevenage have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 7 (2 points per game). Oxford United have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 6 (2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 26% and Both Teams to Score at 33%.
With a 44% probability backing Stevenage, home advantage and superior chance creation make Stevenage to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 44% win probability for Stevenage, a 32% chance of a draw, and a 23% probability for Oxford United. Our top recommended betting pick is Stevenage Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.77 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 33%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 22 Aug 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at Lamex Stadium as part of the League One.
