National League - North · Saturday, 22 Aug 2026
South Shields
Home
1-1
Full time
Mariners Park
Merthyr Town
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.27
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.48 - 0.7
Win probability
Home
74%
Draw
17%
Away
9%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
74%
1.27
Double Chance
Home/Draw
91%
1.03
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.18
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
South Shields wins
0
Draws
0
Merthyr Town wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
80%
Recent form
46%
60%
Attack
53%
73%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
74%
Win probability
9%
Home and away record
South Shields
last 3 at home
1W
1D
1L
1.33
points a game
1.33
scored a game
1.33
conceded a game
Merthyr Town
last 2 away from home
0W
0D
2L
0.00
points a game
0.50
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
9 matches.
| South Shields | Merthyr Town | |
|---|---|---|
| 67% 4/6 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/9 89% |
| 50% 3/6 | Over 2.5 goals | 7/9 78% |
| 17% 1/6 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/9 33% |
| 67% 4/6 | Both teams scored | 5/9 56% |
| 33% 2/6 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/9 33% |
| 0% 0/6 | Failed to score | 1/9 11% |
At half time
South Shields
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
33%
Behind
33%
Merthyr Town
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
44%
Level
44%
Behind
11%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
South Shields |
14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | +6 | 29 |
| 19 |
Merthyr Town |
15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | -4 | 16 |
Match Preview & Analysis
South Shields face Merthyr Town in National League - North. South Shields have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 4 (2.4 points per game). Merthyr Town have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 5 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 74% probability backing South Shields, home advantage and superior chance creation make South Shields to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 74% win probability for South Shields, a 17% chance of a draw, and a 9% probability for Merthyr Town. Our top recommended betting pick is South Shields Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.18 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 22 Aug 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at Mariners Park as part of the National League - North.
