Non League Premier - Southern Central · Saturday, 22 Aug 2026
Stourbridge
Home
2-2
Full time
Venue TBC
Leiston
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.84
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.42 - 1.62
Win probability
Home
30%
Draw
19%
Away
51%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
51%
1.84
Double Chance
Home/Away
81%
1.16
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
83%
1.13
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
79%
1.19
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
83%
Over 2.5
79%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.04
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Stourbridge wins
0
Draws
0
Leiston wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
58%
44%
Attack
75%
33%
Defence
50%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
30%
Win probability
51%
Home and away record
Stourbridge
last 2 at home
1W
0D
1L
1.50
points a game
1.00
scored a game
2.50
conceded a game
Leiston
last 2 away from home
1W
1D
0L
2.00
points a game
2.50
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
4 matches.
| Stourbridge | Leiston | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 3/3 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/4 100% |
| 67% 2/3 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/4 75% |
| 33% 1/3 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/4 50% |
| 33% 1/3 | Both teams scored | 4/4 100% |
| 33% 1/3 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/4 0% |
| 33% 1/3 | Failed to score | 0/4 0% |
At half time
Stourbridge
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
67%
Level
0%
Behind
33%
Leiston
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
25%
Behind
25%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 |
Stourbridge |
16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 22 |
| 17 |
Leiston |
15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -7 | 15 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Stourbridge face Leiston in Non League Premier - Southern Central. Stourbridge have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 3 games, scoring 4 and conceding 6 (2 points per game). Leiston have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 4 games, scoring 9 and conceding 6 (1.75 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 83% and Both Teams to Score at 79%.
Leiston's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 51% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Leiston to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 30% win probability for Stourbridge, a 19% chance of a draw, and a 51% probability for Leiston. Our top recommended betting pick is Leiston Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.04 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 79% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 22 Aug 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
