Eerste Divisie · Saturday, 22 Aug 2026
NAC Breda
Home
3-2
Full time
Rat Verlegh Stadion
Jong Ajax
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.47
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.24 - 0.92
Win probability
Home
64%
Draw
16%
Away
19%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
64%
1.47
Double Chance
Home/Draw
80%
1.18
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
85%
1.11
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
78%
1.21
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
85%
Over 2.5
78%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.16
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
NAC Breda wins
0
Draws
0
Jong Ajax wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
5%
46%
Attack
55%
53%
Defence
5%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
64%
Win probability
19%
Home and away record
NAC Breda
last 4 at home
1W
0D
3L
0.75
points a game
1.00
scored a game
2.25
conceded a game
Jong Ajax
last 2 away from home
0W
0D
2L
0.00
points a game
0.50
scored a game
2.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
8 matches.
| NAC Breda | Jong Ajax | |
|---|---|---|
| 88% 7/8 | Over 1.5 goals | 3/3 100% |
| 63% 5/8 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/3 100% |
| 25% 2/8 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/3 33% |
| 63% 5/8 | Both teams scored | 2/3 67% |
| 0% 0/8 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/3 0% |
| 38% 3/8 | Failed to score | 1/3 33% |
At half time
NAC Breda
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
0%
Behind
75%
Jong Ajax
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
67%
Behind
33%
Match Preview & Analysis
NAC Breda face Jong Ajax in Eerste Divisie. NAC Breda have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 7 (1.8 points per game). Jong Ajax have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 3 games, scoring 5 and conceding 11 (0 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 85% and Both Teams to Score at 78%.
With a 64% probability backing NAC Breda, home advantage and superior chance creation make NAC Breda to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 64% win probability for NAC Breda, a 16% chance of a draw, and a 19% probability for Jong Ajax. Our top recommended betting pick is NAC Breda Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.16 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 78% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 22 Aug 2026 at 14:30 (East Africa Time) at Rat Verlegh Stadion as part of the Eerste Divisie.
