Erovnuli Liga · Saturday, 22 Aug 2026
Spaeri
Home
3-4
Full time
Spaeri Stadium
Samgurali
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.74
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.28 - 1.69
Win probability
Home
24%
Draw
21%
Away
54%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
54%
1.74
Double Chance
Draw/Away
75%
1.25
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
64%
1.47
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
63%
1.49
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
64%
Over 2.5
63%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.97
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Spaeri wins
0
Draws
1
Samgurali wins
20 Jul 2026
Spaeri
0 - 1
Samgurali
Why this prediction
26%
Recent form
66%
53%
Attack
40%
46%
Defence
53%
5%
Head-to-head
95%
24%
Win probability
54%
Home and away record
Spaeri
last 3 at home
0W
0D
3L
0.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Samgurali
last 4 away from home
2W
2D
0L
2.00
points a game
1.25
scored a game
0.75
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
7 matches.
| Spaeri | Samgurali | |
|---|---|---|
| 71% 5/7 | Over 1.5 goals | 3/6 50% |
| 57% 4/7 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/6 50% |
| 43% 3/7 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/6 33% |
| 71% 5/7 | Both teams scored | 2/6 33% |
| 14% 1/7 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/6 50% |
| 29% 2/7 | Failed to score | 2/6 33% |
At half time
Spaeri
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
67%
Behind
0%
Samgurali
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
67%
Behind
33%
Match Preview & Analysis
Spaeri face Samgurali in Erovnuli Liga. Spaeri have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 8 (0.8 points per game). Samgurali have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 7 (2 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Spaeri won 0, Samgurali won 1 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 64% and Both Teams to Score at 63%.
Samgurali's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 54% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Samgurali to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 24% win probability for Spaeri, a 21% chance of a draw, and a 54% probability for Samgurali. Our top recommended betting pick is Samgurali Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.97 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 63% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 22 Aug 2026 at 15:00 (East Africa Time) at Spaeri Stadium as part of the Erovnuli Liga.
