Third League - Southwest · Saturday, 22 Aug 2026
Chavdar Etropole
Home
4-2
Full time
Venue TBC
Septemvri Simitli
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.18
Predicted score
0 - 2
Goal expectancy (xG)
0.8 - 2.26
Win probability
Home
4%
Draw
16%
Away
80%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
80%
1.18
Double Chance
Draw/Away
96%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
77%
1.22
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
23%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.06
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Chavdar Etropole wins
0
Draws
0
Septemvri Simitli wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
11%
Recent form
83%
22%
Attack
58%
33%
Defence
91%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
5%
Win probability
80%
Home and away record
Chavdar Etropole
last 1 at home
0W
1D
0L
1.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Septemvri Simitli
last 2 away from home
2W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
2.50
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
4 matches.
| Chavdar Etropole | Septemvri Simitli | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 3/3 | Over 1.5 goals | 3/4 75% |
| 67% 2/3 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/4 50% |
| 0% 0/3 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/4 0% |
| 67% 2/3 | Both teams scored | 1/4 25% |
| 0% 0/3 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/4 75% |
| 33% 1/3 | Failed to score | 1/4 25% |
At half time
Chavdar Etropole
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
33%
Behind
33%
Septemvri Simitli
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
33%
Behind
33%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 |
Septemvri Simitli |
15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | -3 | 18 |
| 16 |
Chavdar Etropole |
16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | -17 | 17 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Chavdar Etropole face Septemvri Simitli in Third League - Southwest. Chavdar Etropole have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 3 games, scoring 2 and conceding 6 (0.33 points per game). Septemvri Simitli have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 4 games, scoring 7 and conceding 1 (2.5 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 23%.
Septemvri Simitli's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 80% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Septemvri Simitli to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 0-2, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 4% win probability for Chavdar Etropole, a 16% chance of a draw, and a 80% probability for Septemvri Simitli. Our top recommended betting pick is Septemvri Simitli Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 0 - 2, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.06 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 23%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 22 Aug 2026 at 15:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Third League - Southwest.
