Jupiler Pro League · Saturday, 22 Aug 2026
Charleroi
Home
2-0
Full time
Stade du Pays de Charleroi
KV Mechelen
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.57
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.14 - 0.96
Win probability
Home
60%
Draw
19%
Away
21%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
60%
1.57
Double Chance
Home/Draw
79%
1.19
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
75%
1.25
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
70%
1.34
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
75%
Over 2.5
70%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.1
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Charleroi wins
0
Draws
0
KV Mechelen wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
13%
66%
Attack
33%
53%
Defence
40%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
60%
Win probability
21%
Home and away record
Charleroi
last 4 at home
2W
1D
1L
1.75
points a game
2.25
scored a game
1.75
conceded a game
KV Mechelen
last 4 away from home
2W
0D
2L
1.50
points a game
0.75
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
8 matches.
| Charleroi | KV Mechelen | |
|---|---|---|
| 86% 6/7 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/8 63% |
| 86% 6/7 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/8 50% |
| 71% 5/7 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/8 25% |
| 86% 6/7 | Both teams scored | 3/8 38% |
| 14% 1/7 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/8 38% |
| 0% 0/7 | Failed to score | 3/8 38% |
At half time
Charleroi
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
17%
Level
67%
Behind
17%
KV Mechelen
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
38%
Behind
38%
Match Preview & Analysis
Charleroi face KV Mechelen in Jupiler Pro League. Charleroi have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 7 (2 points per game). KV Mechelen have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 9 (0.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 75% and Both Teams to Score at 70%.
With a 60% probability backing Charleroi, home advantage and superior chance creation make Charleroi to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 60% win probability for Charleroi, a 19% chance of a draw, and a 21% probability for KV Mechelen. Our top recommended betting pick is Charleroi Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.1 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 70% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 22 Aug 2026 at 16:15 (East Africa Time) at Stade du Pays de Charleroi as part of the Jupiler Pro League.
