AfriPredictions
Bundesliga · Saturday, 22 Aug 2026
Sturm Graz
Home
1-1
Full time
Merkur-Arena
Austria Lustenau
Away
Our Prediction ☆☆☆ confidence
Recommended tip
2 @ 2.04
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.13 - 1.51
Win probability
Home
18%
Draw
36%
Away
46%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
46% 2.04
Double Chance
Draw/Away
82% 1.15
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
82% 1.15
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
76% 1.24
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
18%
Over 2.5
24%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.64
Avg goals
Recent form — last 5
Stu Sturm Graz
W D L W W
3-1-1
W-D-L
8:4
Goals
2
PPG
Aus Austria Lustenau
W D L W W
3-1-1
W-D-L
8:4
Goals
2
PPG
Head-to-head
2
Sturm Graz wins
1
Draws
2
Austria Lustenau wins
22 Mar 2026 Sturm Graz 2 - 0 Austria Lustenau
22 Oct 2025 Austria Lustenau 0 - 3 Sturm Graz
22 May 2025 Sturm Graz 0 - 0 Austria Lustenau
22 Dec 2024 Austria Lustenau 0 - 1 Sturm Graz
22 Jul 2024 Sturm Graz 2 - 0 Austria Lustenau
Why this prediction
66% Recent form 66%
95% Attack 95%
52% Defence 52%
40% Head-to-head 40%
18% Win probability 46%
League standings
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 Aus Austria Lustenau 24 9 4 11 +4 31
4 Stu Sturm Graz 24 16 7 1 0 55
Match Preview & Analysis

As Sturm Graz prepare to square off against Austria Lustenau in Bundesliga action, statistical analysis points toward an intriguing tactical contest. Sturm Graz enters this match with 3 wins from their past 5 outings, averaging 2 points per game while finding the net 8 times. Meanwhile, Austria Lustenau has registered a 5-match record of 3-1-1, displaying resilient defensive organization with 4 goals conceded.

Examining the historical head-to-head record across the last 5 meetings, Sturm Graz has claimed 2 victories compared to 2 for Austria Lustenau, with 1 encounters ending in a stalemate. In terms of goal dynamics, the probability of Over 2.5 Goals stands at 18%, while Both Teams to Score (BTTS) is projected at 24%.

With evenly matched metrics (18% vs 46%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.

Frequently Asked Questions Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 18% win probability for Sturm Graz, a 36% chance of a draw, and a 46% probability for Austria Lustenau. Our top recommended betting pick is 2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.64 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 24%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 22 Aug 2026 at 17:30 (East Africa Time) at Merkur-Arena as part of the Bundesliga.
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