Serie A · Saturday, 22 Aug 2026
Genoa
Home
0-2
Full time
Luigi Ferraris
Napoli
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.74
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.23 - 1.69
Win probability
Home
22%
Draw
24%
Away
54%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
54%
1.74
Double Chance
Draw/Away
78%
1.21
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.92
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Genoa wins
0
Draws
0
Napoli wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
66%
53%
Attack
80%
6%
Defence
53%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
22%
Win probability
54%
Home and away record
Genoa
last 4 at home
2W
1D
1L
1.75
points a game
2.00
scored a game
1.25
conceded a game
Napoli
last 0 away from home
No away from home games on record yet.
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
6 matches.
| Genoa | Napoli | |
|---|---|---|
| 67% 4/6 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/5 100% |
| 67% 4/6 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/5 60% |
| 50% 3/6 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/5 40% |
| 67% 4/6 | Both teams scored | 4/5 80% |
| 17% 1/6 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/5 20% |
| 17% 1/6 | Failed to score | 0/5 0% |
At half time
Genoa
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
40%
Behind
20%
Napoli
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
80%
Level
0%
Behind
20%
Match Preview & Analysis
Genoa face Napoli in Serie A. Genoa have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 14 (1.4 points per game). Napoli have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 12 and conceding 7 (2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Napoli's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 54% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Napoli to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 22% win probability for Genoa, a 24% chance of a draw, and a 54% probability for Napoli. Our top recommended betting pick is Napoli Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.92 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 22 Aug 2026 at 18:45 (East Africa Time) at Luigi Ferraris as part of the Serie A.
